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Republican presidential candidates have been one-upping each other on abortion limits and bans, with participants in this week's GOP primary debate vowing to sign a federal ban on the procedure.

The Democrats' response has been to bury Republicans with their own words, including with a national ad the Biden-Harris campaign released Friday featuring clips of former President Donald Trump, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina pledging to stop abortion – by punishing women who have one, in Trump's case.

Since the 2022 Supreme Court decision taking away guaranteed abortion rights, both parties have elevated the issue in their campaigns. And both think it will be a winner for them in 2024.

"These guys showed us this week they don’t have a clue about the power of women," President Joe Biden said on social media, releasing his and Vice President Kamala Harris' new ad. "They are about to find out."

The campaign is spending $25 million to run the ad online and in the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Former Vice President Mike Pence, meanwhile, said during Wednesday night's debate in Milwaukee that he is a "champion for life" who would sign a ban on abortion after 15 weeks. When Nikki Haley, a former U.S. ambassador who also opposes abortion, countered that the votes aren't there in the Senate to overcome a filibuster, Pence shot back, saying, "Consensus is the opposite of leadership."

DeSantis, meanwhile, bragged about his signing of a six-week abortion ban in Florida, while Scott said he would back the 15-week ban. In April, Scott said in an interview with NBC News that he would sign "the most conservative, pro-life” legislation into law."

That's an approach that plays very well with the GOP primary electorate, which largely opposes abortion. A recent CBS/YouGov poll found that 68% of Republican voters think abortion should be illegal in all or most cases.

And Republicans – like Democrats – aren't shying away from the issue.

“I was very pleased to see them talk about abortion,” RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel told Fox News the morning after the debate. “Democrats used that in 2022. ... If our candidates aren’t able to fend a response and put out a response, we’re not going to win. They’re going to do it again in 2024. And I thought all of them did a really good job on that.”

But since the June 2022 ruling Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization, the pro-abortion rights side has become newly energized. While anti-abortion forces have had success in the courts (the South Carolina state Supreme Court this week upheld a near-total ban on abortion), abortion foes have been losing consistently when the matter is put directly before voters – a troubling trend for anti-abortion forces ahead of what is expected to be a highly competitive 2024 election.

Since Dobbs, voters in California, Michigan and Vermont approved referendums to enshrine abortion rights in the state constitutions, unsurprising for three states where Democrats are in control. But in three red states – Kansas, Kentucky and Montana – measures to reject guaranteed abortion rights were defeated.

Further, Ohio voters overwhelmingly this month rejected a measure that would require a supermajority of 60% to pass a state constitutional amendment. That means abortion rights advocates will have a much easier time winning a referendum on the ballot this fall to ensure abortion rights. Polling shows strong support for that measure.

More problematic for Republicans going forward – at least from an electoral perspective – is a slate of referendums proposed for 2024 state ballots. In Arizona, Florida, Maryland, Missouri, New York and South Dakota, advocates are pushing for votes to protect reproductive rights. Abortion foes are trying to get referendums on the ballot in Iowa, Nebraska and Pennsylvania to prohibit abortion or to state clearly that the state constitution does not guarantee the right to abortion.

The fate of those ballot initiatives (should activists indeed get the signatures required to get them on the ballot) may be secondary to another factor: voter turnout.

In Arizona, a state Biden won by a razor-thin 10,457 votes, the referendum could spur pro-abortion rights voters to go to the polls – perhaps providing a critical difference for an incumbent president who, polling indicates, does not inspire excitement among Democrats. The same may well be true in Pennsylvania, a state Biden won by 81,660 votes – about 0.2% of the voting electorate.

"I think what we’ve seen here is across partisan lines, in red, blue and purple states, voters have made themselves clear – they want to protect reproductive freedom," says Ally Boguhn, spokesperson for NARAL Pro-Choice America. "I do think we're going to continue to see this as something that will drive them to the polls."

Republicans argue that forging ahead with abortion bans, taking advantage of the free-for-all created by the Dobbs ruling, will motivate their voters as well.

Cindy Dahlgren, a spokesperson for the Center for Arizona Policy, which opposes the referendum enshrining abortion rights, says there will be "plenty of reasons turnout will be high in 2024," including inflation and the fact that it is a presidential year.

The proposed Arizona referendum, she says, goes too far.

"It would make regulating abortion virtually impossible and that is not where Arizonans are on abortion and why abortion law should be set by lawmakers who can make changes to the law as needed," Dahlgren says.

But polling indicates that Democrats have an edge on motivating their voters around the abortion issue.

A Kaiser Family Foundation survey in May found that 30% of voters will cast a ballot only for a candidate who agrees with them on abortion. Broken down, that includes 46% of Democrats, 23% of independents, and 20% of Republicans, suggesting Democrats are more likely to make abortion rights a litmus test issue.

Further, Democrats have an edge among self-described independents in the poll, with 36% of independents saying Democrats more closely represented their views on abortion and 13% saying Republicans' views on the issue were closer to their own.

Mary Owens, communications director for SBA Pro-Life America, says the anti-abortion movement needs to learn the lessons from Ohio to win next year.

"So far, in all of the state battles, our side has failed to take this approach, allowing the left and pro-abortion industry and allies to define the effort," Owens says. "We must define the issues at stake early and often with a simple message."

新华社悉尼7月3日电（记者郝亚琳）2023年男篮世界杯预选赛第三窗口期比赛3日在澳大利亚墨尔本继续举行，中国队在前三节和澳大利亚队战得难解难分的情况下，第四节崩盘全队仅得3分，最终以48:71告负。中国队三天前同澳大利亚队的首场交锋中，以69:76惜败于对手，但凭借之后对阵中国台北队的胜利，中国男篮已经小组出线进入预选赛下一阶段。赛前，中国队主教练杜锋表示，新一届男篮的锋线还是比较薄弱，多名球员的伤病让锋线压力也比较大，但在首场对阵澳大利亚队的比赛中，队员们的斗志和拼搏精神还是值得肯定的。当天再战澳大利亚，中国队首发派上顾全、周琦、赵睿、郭艾伦、胡明轩。相较于两队前一次的交手，中国队球员们对澳大利亚队的打法明显更为熟悉和适应，第一节尾声阶段，王哲林的“打三分”和朱俊龙的防守篮板，帮助中国队以18:16领先结束首节。第二节开始后，澳大利亚队加强了防守，中国队进攻多次受阻，出现了一些失误，半场结束澳大利亚以30:29领先。第三节比赛场面更加胶着，双方的防守都给了对方更多的压迫感，两队交替以微弱优势领先，战成45平进入最后一节。澳大利亚队第四节开局后打出一波14:0的高潮，中国队的进攻则全面“哑火”，对手三分球频频命中将分差越拉越大，让比赛失去了悬念。杜锋赛后谈到了球队末节崩盘的问题，他说：“可能大家体能下降，进攻中的选择判断出现了很多不必要的失误，退防也不够明确，让对手投了一些空位三分球。这场比赛有点可惜，作为一支年轻队伍，大家如果可以再坚持（一下），挺一挺，队伍的成长和进步就是不一样的状态。”王哲林本场拿下中国男篮全队最高的12分，也是全队唯一得分上双的球员。澳大利亚队主教练布莱恩·戈尔在赛后表示，中国队本场的防守很有针对性，他一直在担心本队怎么才能得分，直到末节队员们的外线投篮命中时，比赛才变得轻松起来。中国男篮4日将再战中国台北队，这也是世预赛第三窗口期中国队的最后一场比赛。

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